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Testing poo in sewage may be an efficient way to monitor the spread of coronavirus – and it could even predict a second wave.
In Scotland, sewage is being tested for traces of the virus – specifically, Covid-19 ribonucleic acid (RNA) – as part of a trial monitoring the spread of the infection.
Samples from waste water at treatment works in 14 NHS
Scotland health board areas will be analysed by scientists from the Scottish Environment Protection Agency (Sepa).
They hope to use the data to understand how widespread the virus is in Scotland, in combination with community testing and hospital admissions data.
The theory is that when lots of RNA is present in sewage, it indicates a localised outbreak – so large numbers of people have the virus in the community. This includes those who are asymptomatic, meaning they don’t have any symptoms at all. SARS-CoV-2 RNA in sewage/sludge is predictive of:a) Community transmissionb) ⬆️& ⬇️ intensity of #COVID19 outbreakc) as a leading indicator (by ~5 days) for cases Our new study w/ @jordan_peccia Ed Kaplan @NathanGrubaugh@WeinbergerDan & othershttps://t.co/cp3rDHLdPqpic.twitter.com/gFtOa1kjFu— Saad B. Omer (@SaadOmer3) May 22, 2020Testing sewage for Covid-19 isn’t anything new. One study found the virus was present in Milan and Turin’s sewer systems as early as December 2019 – two months before the first positive cases in
Italy. It was also before Chinese officials confirmed the virus even existed.
In
Paris, back in March, sewage was analysed for more than a month. Researchers detected a rise and fall in RNA in the sewers, which correlated with a rise and fall of Covid-19 cases not long after. Sébastien Wurtzer, a virologist at Eau de Paris, the city’s public water utility, told Science Mag such data could help predict a second wave of outbreaks.Related... Health Leaders Say
UK Must Start Preparing For Second Covid-19 Wave In May, a group of researchers from Yale University looked at concentrations of Covid-19 RNA in sewage during an outbreak in a northeastern metropolitan area in the US and – sure enough – found the rise in RNA concentrations in the sewers correlated with a rise in local hospital admissions a few days later.
Their study, which is available as a preprint, concluded that Covid-19 RNA concentrations were “a leading indicator of community infection” ahead of testing data and local hospital admissions.
Such findings can help health officials implement public health measures, they said – for example, if there’s a sudden high concentration of viral RNA in the sewers, a localised mini lockdown could be enforced.Related... How Does Covid-19 Affect Your Immune System? There’s not been any confirmed report of the virus spreading from faeces to a person. And two independent studies from the Netherlands found that while RNA traces of the virus were present in wastewater, once that wastewater had been treated, no traces were present.
Earlier this month, the Telegraph reported that the UK government has given the go ahead for sewage systems to be monitored – and data gathered would feed into the Covid-19 Alert System. However, as of yet, no new details have emerged.Related... Drink Or Swim: Why Are Pools And Gyms Still Closed When Pubs Can Open? In 24,000 Covid Cases, These Were The 5 Most Common Symptoms What Your Post-Lockdown Pub Trip Might Look Like from July