March 25, 2020
See the latest stories on the Coronavirus outbreak.
Coronavirus Pressure On NHS To Peak In Three Weeks, Top Scientist Says
Pressure on the NHS due to the coronavirus outbreak will peak in the next two to three weeks, one of the top scientists advising government has predicted. 
Professor Neil Ferguson, who is himself recovering from the disease, said if Boris Johnson’s lockdown is effective then demand for intensive care units beds could be “within capacity” and may start to decline. 
But Imperial College London’s top epidemiologist, who sits on the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) committee advising ministers, cautioned his prediction was based on Brits strictly following the rules. 
He also said the UK could “easily” see a second wave of the virus in the summer unless ministers ramped up testing and tracing from April. 
Ferguson, who gave evidence to the Commons’ science and technology committee via video link on Wednesday, warned that while Covid-19 has spread throughout the UK, there were “hotspots”, notably in Derby and Nottingham, where people “seeding” the virus had arrived from abroad. 
Ferguson said there was uncertainty but “if the current measures work as we would expect them then we will see intensive care demand peak in approximately two to three weeks and then decline thereafter”.
He also predicted that the stress on the NHS would be “within capacity” if people in the UK followed the strict measures.He said: “There will be some areas that are extremely stressed but we are reasonably confident – which is all we can be at the current time – that at the national level we will be within capacity.”
It comes as health secretary Matt Hancock announced on Tuesday that London’s Excel centre, which is usually used for large-scale conferences, would be transformed into a 4,000-bed military field hospital. 
The capital has so far been the worst-hit part of the country, and Ferguson said between 5% and 10% of the capital may contract the virus – which could amount to some 1m people. 
Ferguson said scientists were focusing testing and mapping the virus’s spread. 
He added: “We clearly cannot lock down the country for a year.
“The challenge that many countries in the world are dealing with is how we move from an initial intensive lockdown [...] to something that will have societal effects but will allow the economy to restart.
“That is likely to rely on very large-scale testing and contact tracing. It should be stated that the entire world is in the very early stage of developing such strategies.”Johnson has said he will review the enforced lockdown – which has seen gatherings of more than two banned and people permitted only “absolutely essential” travel – in three weeks’ time. 
But he has stressed restrictions may be in place for three months, or even longer. 
In rare positive news about the outbreak, Ferguson said curbs on Brits introduced by the government could tip Covid-19 from a growing epidemic to a declining epidemic.
He said the hope of the SAGE members was that once the lockdown is lifted, the infection can be kept at manageable levels.
“There will be some resurgence of transmission but the hope is that by employing more focused policies to suppress those local outbreaks, we can maintain infection levels at low levels in the country as a whole indefinitely,” he said.
“It remains to be seen how we achieve this and how practical it proves to be.”
He said it was “plausible” that Covid-19 could behave like other coronaviruses and transmission could be lower in summer months, but perhaps not by more than 10% to 20%.
Ferguson said countries trying to cope with the contagion were looking to China, which was lifting its lockdown, to see what would happen next.
But he added: “The long-term exit from this is clearly the hopes around a vaccine.”
Andrew Pollard, professor of paediatric infection and immunity at the University of Oxford, later told MPs that vaccine could be ready in as little as six months.
He said, however, that a timescale of 12-18 months was more likely to get a vaccine through the testing stages and into mass production. 
“The estimates of one year to 18 months, it would certainly be very likely that we will have different candidates in that time that would have been through all that testing,” he said. 
“I think it’s certainly possible with some candidates to be much, much sooner, maybe even this year to have a lot of data on whether they work and whether they can be useful for populations.”
He said there should be support for firms to take the risk to invest in upscaling manufacturing before testing is completed.
Asked whether 12 months was the earliest possible time that a vaccine could be ready he said: “I believe that six months is possible, but it needs a lot of things to fall in place in order for that to happen, including for the upscaling to go well, for the trials to be conducted in a way that allows us to demonstrate that there is efficacy.”Related... Five-Week Universal Credit Wait Stays Despite Big Spike In Claims, Says Minister How To See A Doctor Or Dentist During The UK Lockdown Piers Morgan Offers To Pay For All NHS Workers' Parking Fines During Coronavirus Pandemic
Related Stories
Latest News
Top news around the world
Coronavirus Disease

Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is an infectious disease caused by a newly discovered coronavirus.

Most people infected with the COVID-19 virus will experience mild to moderate respiratory illness and recover without requiring special treatment. Older people, and those with underlying medical problems like cardiovascular disease, diabetes, chronic respiratory disease, and cancer are more likely to develop serious illness.

Around the World

Celebrity News

> Latest News in Media

Watch It
Lori Loughlin, husband plead guilty in college admissions scandal | Page Six Celebrity News
May 22, 2020
3Tx-FvqZzVI
Celebrity breakups during quarantine: Megan Fox, Ashley Benson and more | Page Six Celebrity News
May 22, 2020
APr202A7bbQ
Darren Barnet from ‘Never Have I Ever’ shares his naughty DMs | Page Six Celebrity News
May 21, 2020
GAOySCx9Zi0
Ben Platt on His Groundbreaking Radio City Music Hall Concert on Netflix
May 20, 2020
DXN5iMMfs60
Daveed Diggs On The Emotional Toll of Filming 'Snowpiercer' Stunts And The 'Hamilton' Movie
May 18, 2020
n17S9kH7XuA
Elle Fanning from 'The Great' Says She's 'Allergic' To The Term 'Strong Female Character'
May 21, 2020
SS1kJkOM_zc
Ayesha Curry's Jaw-Dropping Bikini Pics Taken By Steph Curry | E! News
May 24, 2020
JOxRMbPMajk
Best Moments From Iconic 2001 Film "Pearl Harbor": Rewind | E! News
May 25, 2020
dvDxM-leiqw
"Terrace House" Star Hana Kimura Dead at 22 After Cyberbullying | E! News
May 23, 2020
xqo43SIrfRs
'Floribama Shore' Kirk Medas Arrest Video, Do You Know Who I Am? | TMZ
May 24, 2020
Qrl7Iq3lBDM
Jamie Kennedy Explains How Stand-Up Comedy's Changed Amid Pandemic | TMZ
May 24, 2020
Q6SG4jcR6VI
Kandi Burruss Says Winning 'Masked Singer' is Best Answer for Haters | TMZ
May 23, 2020
zBCqnPAfX-A
TV Schedule
Late Night Show
Watch the latest shows of U.S. top comedians

Sports

Latest sport results, news, videos, interviews and comments
Latest Events
08
Mar
ITALY: Serie A
Juventus - Inter Milan
08
Mar
ENGLAND: Premier League
Manchester United - Manchester City
08
Mar
ENGLAND: Premier League
Chelsea - Everton
08
Mar
SPAIN: La Liga
Real Betis - Real Madrid
08
Mar
ITALY: Serie A
AC Milan - Genoa
07
Mar
ENGLAND: Premier League
Burnley - Tottenham Hotspur
07
Mar
ENGLAND: Premier League
Arsenal - West Ham United
07
Mar
SPAIN: La Liga
Barcelona - Real Sociedad
07
Mar
ENGLAND: Premier League
Liverpool - Bournemouth
07
Mar
SPAIN: La Liga
Atletico Madrid - Sevilla
01
Mar
SPAIN: La Liga
Real Madrid - Barcelona
01
Mar
ENGLAND: Premier League
Everton - Manchester United
01
Mar
ENGLAND: Premier League
Tottenham Hotspur - Wolves
01
Mar
SPAIN: La Liga
Espanyol - Atletico Madrid
01
Mar
ITALY: Serie A
Cagliari - Roma
29
Feb
ENGLAND: Premier League
Watford - Liverpool
29
Feb
ITALY: Serie A
Napoli - Torino
29
Feb
ENGLAND: Premier League
Bournemouth - Chelsea
24
Feb
ENGLAND: Premier League
Liverpool - West Ham United
23
Feb
ENGLAND: Premier League
Arsenal - Everton
23
Feb
ENGLAND: Premier League
Manchester United - Watford
23
Feb
ITALY: Serie A
Roma - Lecce
23
Feb
SPAIN: La Liga
Atletico Madrid - Villarreal
22
Feb
SPAIN: La Liga
Levante - Real Madrid
22
Feb
ITALY: Serie A
Fiorentina - AC Milan
22
Feb
ENGLAND: Premier League
Leicester City - Manchester City
22
Feb
ITALY: Serie A
Spal - Juventus
Find us on Instagram
at @feedimo to stay up to date with the latest.
Featured Video You Might Like
0vmRhiLHE2U JFCZUoa6MYE UfN5PCF5EUo 2PV55f3-UAg W3y9zuI_F64 -7qCxIccihU pQ9gcOoH9R8 g5MRDEXRk4k tudKp5Vhs3k iwWHibhssSo kQr0XHPbICM 5NeCb7JxaRk
Copyright © 2020 Feedimo. All Rights Reserved.