December 10, 2019

Stocks Rise, Bonds Fall Amid Muddled Trade Views: Markets Wrap
(Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks edged higher as investors debated whether China and the Trump administration will reach a meaningful trade deal ahead of a looming tariff deadline. Treasuries slipped.The S&P 500 Index hovered near session highs with a modest gain as investors digested dueling signals on the likelihood of fresh tariffs on Dec. 15. Tech shares led the advance. Multiple reports indicated a delay was likely, before administration officials said the outcome depends on how talks progress. The two sides say a partial deal remains within reach, though the contours of any such agreement have not been made clear. Crude slipped.“The trade talks and headlines are going to be very fluid this week,” said Ryan Nauman, market strategist at Informa Financial Intelligence’s Zephyr. “You’ve got a lot of stuff going on this week, just a lot of information that traders are having to contend with. But trade talks and headwinds are definitely driving risk-on or risk-off trades right now.”In other trade news, Canada, Mexico and the U.S. moved toward an agreement that appeared to have legislative support in each of the countries. Mexico’s peso was little changed.“Those three countries are highly dependent on each other so I don’t think there likely to be anything that is that far away from where we’re at,” said Jim Besaw, chief investment officer at GenTrust.Trade continued to dominate sentiment on equity markets, with the dispute between the world’s two largest economies taking much of the blame for a slowdown in global growth. The spat is overshadowing a spate of central bank meetings this week, including the Federal Reserve gathering Wednesday. House Democrats are expected to unveil impeachment charges later Tuesday against President Donald Trump.The pound rose ahead of a key political poll and just two days before a general election dominated by Brexit. The euro advanced while European bonds drifted lower after French and German economic data beat expectations.Elsewhere, crude-oil futures nudged lower and emerging-market shares slipped. In Asia, a regional benchmark declined overall in below-average volumes but shares in South Korea and China climbed. Japan’s 10-year bond yield rose above zero for the first time since March before reversing.Here are some key events to watch this week:The Federal Reserve decides on interest rates on Wednesday, followed by a press briefing from Chairman Jerome Powell.The next European Central Bank policy decision is on Thursday.The U.K. holds a general election Thursday.These are some of the main moves in markets:\--With assistance from Sarah Ponczek.To contact the reporters on this story: Vildana Hajric in New York at vhajric1@bloomberg.net;Claire Ballentine in New York at cballentine@bloomberg.netTo contact the editors responsible for this story: Jeremy Herron at jherron8@bloomberg.net, Dave LiedtkaFor more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
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