August 04, 2019

Oil Resumes Decline as Trade War Overshadows Iran Tanker Seizure
(Bloomberg) -- Oil resumed its decline as demand fears deepened after U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to slap more tariffs on China, countering concerns crude flows may be disrupted following Iran’s seizure of another ship.Futures lost as much as 1% in New York after closing up 3.2% in the previous session. Trump said Friday he can raise tariffs on China to a “much higher number,” following his initial threat on Thursday that spurred the steepest one-day drop in crude prices in more than four years. Iran seized a foreign tanker in the Persian Gulf on July 31, the Revolutionary Guards said on their Sepah News portal Sunday, without giving any details about the vessel.Asian stocks and currencies kept falling Monday on the escalating tension between the world’s two largest economies. The yuan dropped below 7 a dollar for the first time in more than a decade after China’s central bank cut the fixing, raising the specter of a currency war. Investors are awaiting speeches from Federal Reserve policy makers this week after Chairman Jerome Powell said last month’s rate cut didn’t signal the start of a lengthy easing cycle.“Investors think a full confrontation or military clash between the U.S. and Iran is unlikely, but are more concerned about the possibility the U.S.-China situation will worsen,” said Jun Inoue, a senior economist at Mizuho Research Institute Ltd. in Tokyo. Oil prices could fall a lot further if the additional tariffs on China are imposed and the Fed doesn’t cut rates again, he said.See also: Trump Is Spooking Oil Markets More Than Iran: Julian LeeWest Texas Intermediate oil for September delivery fell 44 cents, or 0.8%, to $55.22 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange as of 10:45 a.m. in Singapore after losing as much as 58 cents earlier. The contract dropped 1% last week and tumbled 7.9% on Thursday.Brent crude for October settlement declined 55 cents, or 0.9%, to $61.34 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe Exchange. It fell 2.5% last week. The global benchmark traded at a premium of $6.15 to WTI for the same month.Trump said Thursday he would impose a 10% tariff on a further $300 billion of Chinese imports, before saying the following day that the levies could be raised even further. Beijing pledged to respond. China has a “nuclear option” of depreciating its currency even further as a potential way of provoking the U.S., said Kyle Rodda, an analyst at IG Markets Ltd. in Melbourne.The ship taken by Iran’s Revolutionary Guards was carrying around 4,400 barrels of smuggled fuel when it was seized near Farsi Island in the western part of the Persian Gulf off Iran’s southwestern coast, Sepah News reported. Iran’s state-run Press TV reported that the seized ship is an Iraqi tanker that was delivering the fuel to some Arab countries in the Gulf. Iraq’s oil ministry denied it was one of theirs.\--With assistance from James Thornhill.To contact the reporter on this story: Tsuyoshi Inajima in Tokyo at tinajima@bloomberg.netTo contact the editors responsible for this story: Serene Cheong at scheong20@bloomberg.net, Andrew JanesFor more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
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