After more than two years of all-out war with
Russia – and a decade of fighting in the eastern regions – the time has come for a new approach to fighting
Vladimir Putin : spending his money against him. For Ukrainian opposition leader Kira Rudik, this is the ultimate option. For the first time since February 2022, when Putin launched his full-scale invasion of
Ukraine , Western
MILITARY aid to Kyiv is faltering – and it has allowed Russia to gain the initiative on the frontline . A $60 billion (£47bn) aid package to Ukraine has been trapped in US
Congress for seven months , hostage to disagreements between a handful of hardline
Republicans and the remainder of the House of Representatives, the lower chamber of Congress. In Europe, stockpiles of artillery shells are running dry and leaders are only now belatedly trying to remedy this problem. Russia, meanwhile – enjoying a six to one artillery advantage , according to the latest estimates from Ukrainian military chief Oleksandr Syrskyi – has taken several towns in eastern Ukraine in the past seven weeks and is threatening to take more. As the
United Kingdom, the
United States and the
European Union all prepare to go to the polls this year – something that is bound to distract them to some degree from Ukraine– the message, then, is simple: now is the time for Kyiv to find a different source of funds . That is why 38-year-old politician Kira Rudik , leader of Holos, a liberal centrist party with 20 seats in Ukraine’s Verkhovna Rada, is in London. “We need to figure out how to get the support that we need without getting into people’s pockets,” Ms Rudik tells The Independent during a sit-down in the lobby of a west
London hotel. “And we have a solution.” The politician is championing a plan to seize roughly $300 billion (£238bn) in
Russian assets frozen in Europe, the US and
Japan, and redirecting them to Ukraine to be used in its war effort. It is hers – and her country’s – bid to make Ukraine at least partially self-reliant at a time when they do not know when, or from where, the next tranche of Western support will come. “The success or failure of Ukraine’s defences depend on resources, and as the war drags on and the west starts to tire of sending more money, the one thing that may determine the outcome is confiscating the Russian assets and sending them to Ukraine,” says Bill Browder, a friend of Ms Rudik’s and formerly the largest foreign investor in Russia before being kicked out of the country by Putin. “Russia launched this disastrous and expensive war. They should now pay for it under international law.” The option is, however, fraught with difficulties – shifting confiscated Russian Central Bank money risks harming trust in the US dollar’s standing as the world’s dominant currency, to name one issue. Historically, such reserves have always been safe, even at times of war. But the idea is nonetheless gaining traction as other means of funding Ukraine remain stuck. The US, looking for a legal workaround, has sold the idea as a “countermeasure” tantamount to an advance on what Russia will have to pay Ukraine for the damages it has caused the country. “At the beginning, everyone said no,” Ms Rudik says. “Now, most nations have come around to the idea. But it is much easier to go from no to maybe, than from yes to actual action.” Her mission is now to get all members of the Group of Seven (G7) to back the plan, as it requires unanimity to stand a chance of being actioned.
France,
Germany and
Italy remain unsure. “Most of the people agree with us and say that it is a great idea, and that they support it,” she says. “Now, we need someone, maybe
British politicians, to show leadership in this setting.” The
UK foreign secretary Lord Cameron appears ready to take up this mantle. Earlier this month, he said the government was prepared to back the action and wanted to maximise the unity of the
G7 and EU on the issue. Crucially, though, he added that if those who are opposing it refuse to back down, the UK “will move ahead with allies that want to take this action” anyway. It came less than two months after Lord Cameron became one of the first Western leaders to endorse the idea of sending seized Russian assets to Ukraine. “At the end of the day, Russia is going to have to pay reparations for its illegal invasion, so why not spend some of the money now,” he said in January. This is a flavour of the leadership about which Ms Rudik has talked. The US and
Canada, as well as
Belgium, where the majority of Russia’s frozen assets are kept, are also on board, at least in theory. As Ukraine prepares for the remainder of a difficult 2024, with
elections in the West looming and Russian forces rampant, seizing Putin’s money has never been more important. And though two years ago the idea was quickly swept aside by Kyiv’s Western backers, there is now hope that the plan may just get pushed through – in part due to the persistence of Ms Rudik. Towards the end of The Independent’s conversation with the Ukrainian political figure, the topic of how to stay positive in a time of what seems like endless war is broached. “We have no choice other than to be hopeful,” she says. “You can sit and say, we give up, but then what? “I have never heard or seen anyone in Ukraine talk about giving up. Everybody has lost someone, yet everyone is doing everything they can to win the war.” Ms Rudik’s interminable push to seize Russia’s assets abroad is her way of fighting for Ukraine - and it may just prove vital to her country’s victory over Vladimir Putin.